Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.630672 0.748397 0.876529 1.025669 1.193791 1.376749 1.590193
2025-04-13 0.424457 0.580235 0.767943 1.007382 1.301079 1.645925 2.077519
2025-04-20 0.296660 0.465161 0.688543 0.997706 1.405126 1.914016 2.587001
2025-04-27 0.215238 0.385125 0.631315 0.997674 1.510920 2.185477 3.117704
2025-05-04 0.157282 0.320787 0.578885 0.989447 1.596671 2.430469 3.626132
2025-05-11 0.112846 0.263618 0.522951 0.962821 1.647068 2.624655 4.073193
2025-05-18 0.085933 0.228191 0.492847 0.967792 1.739072 2.878005 4.611398
2025-05-25 0.062070 0.190014 0.448944 0.941497 1.776688 3.050693 5.040495
2025-06-01 0.048221 0.168126 0.429523 0.952099 1.870567 3.309135 5.603112
2025-06-08 0.036216 0.145560 0.403406 0.945700 1.933511 3.521267 6.104481
2025-06-15 0.030777 0.138303 0.407452 0.995089 2.093490 3.891830 6.859293
2025-06-22 0.024951 0.127212 0.400500 1.021506 2.214169 4.204479 7.536721
2025-06-29 0.017829 0.108191 0.371587 1.001676 2.253780 4.393378 8.039964
2025-07-06 0.013712 0.097424 0.360510 1.017595 2.360453 4.699566 8.743519
2025-07-13 0.010181 0.086299 0.345604 1.022923 2.447224 4.976507 9.411873
2025-07-20 0.007517 0.076717 0.332289 1.029583 2.536350 5.261089 10.103029
2025-07-27 0.005289 0.066823 0.315014 1.024092 2.600189 5.503769 10.733485
2025-08-03 0.003400 0.055987 0.290970 0.998012 2.619216 5.666840 11.236198
2025-08-10 0.002388 0.049766 0.280332 1.003683 2.703569 5.949909 11.949424
2025-08-17 0.001433 0.041442 0.258729 0.976875 2.716035 6.101278 12.442275
2025-08-24 0.000983 0.037274 0.251610 0.987892 2.810407 6.406864 13.208537
2025-08-31 0.000601 0.032299 0.239010 0.981354 2.864920 6.639356 13.854343
2025-09-07 0.000486 0.031693 0.245826 1.032194 3.052122 7.130517 14.967450